||2000 we were around $5.629t debt
2020 we're around $27t debt
1970 we're less than $371,000,000 debt
1980 we're around $2t debt
|1970 $371,000,000 to $27,000,000,000,000 2020 7,277,528.03%
1970 $371,000,000 to 2,000,000,000,000 1980 538,983.55%
2000 $5,629,000,000,000 to $27,000,000,000,000 2020 379.65%
2000 $5,629,000,000,000 to $81,414,743,777,373 2020 1,346.34%
2000 $5,629,000,000,000 to $154,177,131,784,644 2020 2,638.97%
|Actual Debt in 2019
US Recognized Debt
Normally $25t to $30t
Reports say GDP is down 33% from 2019
$6,449,596,615,276 = $19,544,232,167,506 = $25,993,828,782,782
2019 19,091.7 (Actual reports of GDP. It shows how badly they manipulate GDP.) As of 2020 each American owes $468,085.10
Let's assume $15t GDP is our future.
It will take the USA $81,414,743,777,373 / $1,500,000,000,000 = 54 years at 10% GDP to pay off the debt.
1970 to 2020
7,277,528.03% debt increase, 567.80% USD inflation vs. Gold, 712.96% Gold Increase
25.56% Gold increase by this and USD inflates by this.
|US Debt Source 2
Gold hits $2,400 in 2020 we lost -50.80% USD Hyper Inflation.
$2,000 to $4,000 = 100% increase in value.
25.56-100=-74.44% Value Lost
|Crash Estimation Sept/Oct 2020 to December 2021 at the latest.
While it does have potential to grow in the next up cycle. I'd like to remind people that most of its activity is from whales. Also like Bitconnect, they don't have an actual service/product. All their prior business deals fell through. Ideally never invest in S coins the in the first place. Just be warned, it's not safe.
|Difficulty for mining goes up year on year. Based on hardware improvements. It held 5-7 million for a while. The BTC fork doubled difficulty in 2020. Ergo the payout cut in half. Ah fork! That means a simple 10x the difficulty to reach the $200k coin value, 160 million. We aren't using the $100k range to 80 million.
So we'll assume
7,934,713/1,931,136 = 4.10x to 16,847,562/7,934,713 = 2.12x
16,847,562*2.12 = 35,716,831.44M to 16,847,562*4.10 = 69,075,004.20M Difficulty
BTC Possible Range
Difficulty to $ Increase
This is a simple formula. Assuming BTC jumps to $200k in a short time. That's 10x processing fees. $50 becomes $500 minimum to process. Ouch! Fucken ouch! Hope you went in big. Therefore, you could lose thousands of dollars simply to move from your private wallet, to an exchange, to sale. These fees are temporary, 1-2 weeks.
The assumed the range is $500 to $1,000. This is a general estimation. Mostly congestion is what causes the high spikes in fees. It has maintained below 1 cent when activity is normal.
|BTC dominance tends to go down in growth cycles. We'll assume the healthy range is 30-60%. If $2 trillion real dollars goes into crypto. We'll also assume BTC only has $100b real dollars in it. Disregard the additional $88b. We can't surmise the growth ranges.
|Jan 8 2018. Fee, $15 peak over $55.27 at $20,000
Bitcoin BTC 1,931,136M $1,698.15 yearly payout, value $14,748, BTC Dominance 33%
June 26 to July 1, Fee $5.33
Bitcoin BTC 7,934,713M $7,216.05 yearly payout, value $13,655, Dominance 60%-62%
August 1st 2020 (Fork, 1/2 payments), Fee $5.46
Bitcoin BTC 16,847,562M $2,551.35 yearly payout, value $12,030, Dominance 61%
|60% Dominance, $100,000,000,000 USD = $12,000 Val
Of $2 trillion
30% Dom $600b this is easy, 6x = $72,000 Val
60% Dom 1.2t 12x = $144,000 Val
|516.66% to 1,100% possible growth range for BTC. With a $500 to $1,000 processing fee. Alts Should repeat 2017 growth minimum. Since this will be very similar to that market.
644% to 7,900% that was in a market of 600b is around 400b into alts. With 90-99% fake volume.
We'll be in a 2tb market. 40-70% should go in. $800b to $1.4t, 400b to 800b is 2x. EZ 400b to 1,400/400 = 3.5x gains.
First range assumes $400b was real... Sure it was. Here are your minimums.
644%*2 = 1,288% to 7,900%*3.5 = 27,650% I rough estimated 30k a month ago, nice!
40b was real, 10x 644%*20 = 12,880% to 7,900%*35 = 276,500% Jesus!
|Alts $25k Invested
$322,000 to $6,912,500
Split $10k Invested
$128,800 to $2,765,000 (27,650%)
Best Scenario $25k Invested
|Now we have all the ranges. 1,288% to 276,500% is the possible range for $800b to $1.4t dumped into alt coins. I would side on caution and say 1,288% to 27,650% is the likely range. If whales only pick from the top 100. 200,000% is possible.
How much we could make off $25,000? I calculated you could put in to get the maximum gains; without having trouble cashing out. Good luck finding fast buyers at $10m worth of crypto.
BTC $25k Invested
$129,165 to $275,000
Split $15k Invested
$77,499 to $165,000
|The problem is if you see the best-case scenario gains. That means the USD hyperinflated. So you're $69 million could be worth 50% less, or 34,562,500-69,125,000 = $3,4562,500. That is why I paired inflation with crypto growth.
|It's not this cut and dry. Values could be a little bit lower or higher for BTC. As I remind people there was a point where BTC's $20,000 was only $10b to $30b real dollars of the $600b 2018 market.
||Fee Source 2
|$1 trillion to $2 trillion should be around the cap. If we go beyond those amounts. Expect whole countries to cash out, stop anyy further growth. This means around 3-6 months of this will lead to a crypto crash. Your entry and exit window will be small.
||Fee Source 3
Conclusion: If gold hits between $2,400 to $4,000. USD hyperinflation likely. Everything will collapse, including precious metals. Mathematically this crash is unavoidable. After that pumps will begin for very specific things. Assets, metals, crypto.
You could make as much as 644% to 27,650% on any given alt coin. I highly recommend exiting once you hit the upper end of these ranges. If it goes to the legendary 276,500%. Two causes: Severe cheating, you may not be able to cash out. The other is global hyperinflation. Which means your $ value could lose over 50%. Plan accordingly.